综合一区欧美国产,99国产麻豆免费精品,九九精品黄色录像,亚洲激情青青草,久久亚洲熟妇熟,中文字幕av在线播放,国产一区二区卡,九九久久国产精品,久久精品视频免费

Business / Economy

China enters slow-growth era

By Andrew Moody (China Daily) Updated: 2014-10-27 07:43

One of the challenges for China if it is trying to engineer a slowdown is whether it can achieve it without sending the rest of the world into recession and then being impacted itself again in second-round effects by the resultant fall in global demand.

Ballin at Standard Bank Group believes this is something Chinese policymakers will be very much aware of.

"There are these risks of a downward spiral. You can't just see this in terms of an isolated GDP growth decline. China is so much now integrated into the global supply chain so there is a synchronicity of risk to any slowdown," he says.

Zhu at the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance believes there is less of a risk of this than there was five years ago when in the wake of the financial crisis the world was completely reliant on China demand.

"You can't rule out the risk of a downward spiral since China remains so important. What the world needs, however, is a China soft landing rather than a hard one. This relatively stable decline in growth that we are seeing reduces the possibility of a crash, which was what everybody feared.

"We have also moved into a situation where it is not just China contributing to global growth although it remains very significant but also the so-called frontier economies of Indonesia, Pakistan and Turkey, which gives greater scope for China to slow without destabilizing the world economy."

For Power at Investec, the real threat to global growth comes from Europe itself and not China as has been made clear by all the worrying data of the past fortnight that has created turmoil on global stock markets.

"We are now seeing Germany moving into negative growth and the whole problem with the eurozone countries. I think we are also going to see an end to the so-called German export miracle," he says.

"The Chinese are beginning to reverse engineer some of the capital goods they have been sold by the Germans such as magnetic trains. I think the US will begin to start to lose its competitive advantages, too within three to five years and we will move to a situation where there is more creativity coming from Asia."

For the moment, there is going to be increasing interest in the growth data coming out of China.

Evans-Pritchard at Capital Economics says it is often too easy to be bearish about China.

"I think a lot of people were too pessimistic after the very weak data we had in August. The latest growth figure therefore was not as bad as some people had expected," he says.

Kuijs at RBS believes the Chinese government is still very much weighing up all the options as to what growth level it wants the economy to achieve.

"I think they are still making up their mind as to how far to let this process go. I think there, however, still remains an element of ambition about achieving a certain minimum level of growth. I think that is why we are all still wondering what the growth target for next year and beyond will eventually be."

China enters slow-growth era

China enters slow-growth era

 Flash PMI for Oct brings cheer  Study: More US firms shift work back home

 

Previous Page 1 2 3 4 Next Page

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
沾益县| 塔城市| 讷河市| 珲春市| 花莲市| 柏乡县| 青神县| 杨浦区| 景宁| 峡江县| 白沙| 健康| 盐城市| 平度市| 灵川县| 晋城| 温宿县| 安国市| 二手房| 吴堡县| 淳安县| 车致| 邻水| 富裕县| 攀枝花市| 老河口市| 马边| 铁岭市| 张家港市| 镇江市| 贞丰县| 洪洞县| 延津县| 山西省| 滨州市| 怀化市| 温州市| 尉犁县| 抚州市| 仲巴县| 永丰县|