综合一区欧美国产,99国产麻豆免费精品,九九精品黄色录像,亚洲激情青青草,久久亚洲熟妇熟,中文字幕av在线播放,国产一区二区卡,九九久久国产精品,久久精品视频免费

Business / Economy

Concerns of China nearing debt crisis overblown: Report

(Xinhua) Updated: 2016-04-21 14:56

BEIJING - Concerns about China's debt levels reaching a critical threshold and posing a systemic risk are overblown and the country's high debt-to-GDP ratio must be put into perspective, according to a report by an investment bank.

Outstanding loans extended by China's financial institutions amounted to 98.56 trillion yuan ($15.21 trillion) by the end of March, up 14.7 percent year on year, according to data from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) on Wednesday.

Some argue that China's debt-to-GDP ratio has already reached a point that could lead to systemic risk and derail growth, but we disagree, said Qu Hongbin, chief China economist with HSBC, in a report on Thursday, adding that simply comparing China's debt-to-GDP ratio with other countries was misleading.

China's debt-to-GDP ratio is indeed high, and is reported to reach about 250 percent at the end of 2015. Yet this must be seen in the context of China's unusually high savings rate, which has stayed above 40 percent for two decades, Qu pointed out.

HSBC's regression analysis, which uses debt data from the Bank for International Settlements, suggests that every 1 percentage point increase in the national saving rate implies a 3.6 percentage points rise in the debt level. From this perspective, China's debt levels are consistent with its high saving rate.

Another factor is a financial structure dominated by banks, which means the household sector's surplus savings have been transferred into corporate investment through bank lending rather than equity financing, leading to faster debt accumulation. Equity financing accounted for less than 5 percent of total financing in the economy in the last decade, according to the report.

Economic data in Q1 showed that policy easing is still effective, efficient and necessary. Some worry that stimulus will allow Beijing to abandon reform, but recent data suggests that most of the easing has gone to support infrastructure investment and mortgage lending instead of adding to overcapacity, the report said.

Outstanding loans extended to small businesses rose by 14.5 percent year on year to 18.75 trillion yuan by the end of March, up 0.6 percentage points from the end of 2015, according to PBOC data.

"We believe reform and reflation are not contradictory. In fact, as policy easing can help contain the risks of a 'debt deflation trap,' it can help facilitate the reform agenda by making it easier to reallocate labor and capital resources in the restructuring process," the report added.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
虞城县| 利辛县| 白水县| 绥滨县| 江津市| 潼南县| 长顺县| 米脂县| 富锦市| 青龙| 治多县| 德阳市| 平阴县| 仙游县| 永登县| 昌宁县| 和静县| 天门市| 阿瓦提县| 永德县| 泾源县| 玛曲县| 塔城市| 象州县| 宜都市| 江西省| 大关县| 门源| 南岸区| 凤阳县| 墨玉县| 六枝特区| 宁南县| 常宁市| 贵州省| 福建省| 镇雄县| 沙洋县| 新余市| 巴林右旗| 繁昌县|