综合一区欧美国产,99国产麻豆免费精品,九九精品黄色录像,亚洲激情青青草,久久亚洲熟妇熟,中文字幕av在线播放,国产一区二区卡,九九久久国产精品,久久精品视频免费

chinadaily.com.cn
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Economy glides to soft landing: DBS

Updated: 2013-06-26 02:32
By GAO CHANGXIN in Hong Kong and CHEN JIA in Beijing ( China Daily)

The Chinese economy has already "soft-landed" as a result of well-orchestrated government maneuvers, Singapore-based DBS Bank Ltd said on Tuesday.

Senior economist Chris Leung shrugged off the scenario of a hard landing suggested by many analysts apparently spooked by the recent surge in money market rates.

Leung told a news briefing in Hong Kong that growth could further slow to 7 percent in the worst-case scenario where some banks lapse into default, but the possibility is basically zero that the whole economy would derail.

China's gradual slowdown, from a peak of 12.1 percent growth in the first quarter of 2010 to 7.7 percent in the first quarter this year, is "voluntary" and reflects the new leadership's "new way of doing things", Leung said.

"The new leadership has made it clear that it is willing to sacrifice short-term growth for the economy's long-term health," he said. "There will not be easy money any more unless in the unlikely scenario where growth slumps to 4 or 5 percent."

Going forward, growth of 7 percent will be the "new normal" for China, as the government shifts focus from growth to structural reforms.

The market seems to have already digested the "new normal".

An index from JPMorgan Chase & Co measuring the market's macroeconomic confidence showed an outlook for weak growth momentum. The index fell to 35.7 in June from 46.9 in May, it said.

Zhu Haibin, chief economist in China with the bank, said that persistently sluggish investment in manufacturing will persist as the main challenge. The sluggishness "is because of excessive production and shrinking investment returns", Zhu said.

The policy stance is expected to remain tight as the new leadership is determined to shift the priority to structural reform, which will add downside risks to the whole economy in the short term, said Zhu, who downgraded the bank's GDP forecast to 7.6 percent this year.

Investors' confidence in the banking, real estate and consumer goods industries is relatively weaker, according to JPMorgan.

The new leadership's reforms start with the banking system, Leung said.

China's money market rates skyrocketed this month, to 30 percent in some cases, after the central bank indicated it would not give out easy credit as it used to. That led to worries that a credit crunch will ensue and freeze real economic activity.

"The central bank knows what it is doing," said Leung. "The economy is not short of money. The rate hike is a reflection of some banks' risk management problems, not of a shortage of money."

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd said in a research note on Tuesday that rates won't subside until mid-July as lenders scramble to meet some more stringent regulatory requirements in the next two or three weeks.

The broad M2 money supply rose 15.8 percent in May year-on-year, to 104 trillion yuan ($17 trillion), 2.8 percentage points higher than this year's 13 percent target.

On Monday, the central bank made it clear that it won't shore up liquidity to bring down rates. Instead, the bank urged lenders to strengthen control on credit expansion.

The statement sank China's stock market into bear territory with a 5.3 percent tumble, which was followed on Tuesday by a 0.19 percent dip to 1,959.51 points, down 12.56 percent from the start of the year.

"We will see a lot of volatility like this as reforms continue, as investors accustom themselves to the government's new way of doing things," said Leung.

 
...
...
...
淄博市| 遂溪县| 东乌珠穆沁旗| 内黄县| 玉溪市| 栾城县| 洪江市| 虞城县| 定结县| 涟水县| 宁远县| 股票| 西丰县| 张北县| 南丰县| 谢通门县| 定陶县| 安宁市| 芜湖市| 遂昌县| 泰顺县| 江门市| 金沙县| 祥云县| 卢氏县| 延川县| 柯坪县| 祁门县| 包头市| 唐海县| 昭苏县| 阳新县| 共和县| 东乌珠穆沁旗| 根河市| 驻马店市| 石阡县| 罗田县| 沁源县| 清原| 西畴县|