Trans-Atlantic alliance still shaken ( 2003-12-22 14:48) (Agencies)
Following the fall of Saddam
Hussein, the world is still waiting to see the outcome on the two main
battlefields: Iraq and trans-Atlantic relations.
The war to topple a loathed dictator also turned into a brutal war of words
between the United States and some of its main European allies. Sixty years of
trans-Atlantic unity seemed close to unraveling in rhetoric and insults.
The realization that what started as a spat could spin out of control sobered
both sides in the aftermath of the war. Quiet efforts to repair the cracks, or
at least paper them over, have restored a semblance of unity.
But the rivalries and ambitions at the heart of the dispute remain a force
that could divide Europe from America.
The alliance will have to be redefined now that the Cold War threat has gone
and as the European Union becomes more powerful.
"The crisis over Iraq has left deep scars," said Maxime Lefebvre, an analyst
at the French Institute of International Relations in Paris. "Relations with the
United States remain damaged."
Many in Europe, leaders and ordinary people, are uneasy about what they see
as overwhelming U.S. power encircling the globe. America, which says it has no
imperial ambitions, is baffled by what it sees as Europe's unwillingness to
tackle threats to world peace.
The divide is fed by the stereotypes that have taken root in talk shows and
editorials on opposite sides of the Atlantic: America the global bully, led by a
Texas cowboy; Europe the aging continent, too pampered by welfarism to rise the
challenge of terrorism and rogue regimes.
There are strong European voices that want the European Union, an economic
powerhouse, to balance or curb U.S. might. Some Europeans say America already is
a declining power and will ultimately be eclipsed by an EU soon to comprise 25
nations. The bloc's current 15 members alone have a combined population of 380
million with a GDP of $8.6 trillion, to the United States' $10.4 trillion.
The deep distrust of America, most starkly illustrated by the millions of
Europeans who rallied against the war, shows no sign of abating.
"Perhaps the worst result of the trans-Atlantic ado over Iraq ... has been
the growing anti-American feeling in large segments of European public opinion,"
commented Otto Graf Lambsdorff, a former German economics minister.
Calmer voices in Europe and America say both sides have far more to gain by
continuing the alliance and that rivalry will help neither. The security and
prosperity of America and Europe are very closely interwoven.
"Ultimately, there's much more that unites the two sides of the Atlantic than
divides them," said Fraser Cameron of the European Policy Center, a think tank
based in Brussels.
Without the common threat of the Soviet Union, both sides have far more room
to disagree. Many European governments, however, still see NATO (news - web
sites) and its promise of U.S. military protection as their best security
guarantee. Few European states want to challenge the United States or endanger
an alliance that worked so well for so long.
And few Europeans are willing to pay the high financial price of bringing
their weak, underequipped armed forces up to par with America's.
Washington, which was scornful of European weakness, has now needs help in
Iraq and Afghanistan and speaks of cooperation and consultation.
Despite protracted bickering, progress has been made in keeping NATO as the
foundation of Western defense and giving it a post-Cold War role. But there are
still big doubts about its role and future usefulness.
Still, Europe's desire for a major voice on the global stage to reflect its
economic power are only likely to grow. That almost certainly means future
friction with America as interests collide over issues ranging from strategic
influence and trade to global warming and attitudes to the death penalty.
"The exacerbation of trans-Atlantic tension, broad anger at the Americans and
anti-Americanism in Europe are rooted in European elites' feeling hurt by Europe
losing its role in global affairs," said Andrei Piontkovsky, an analyst at
Moscow's Center for Strategic Research.
Supporters of the trans-Atlantic alliance optimistically insist it's far from
dead, just in need of some careful management.